Which one you first choose? በቅድሚያ የሚፈልጉት

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Amhara-Oromo-Alliance For the Possible Revolution Against Woyane's Apartheid System in Oromia (Ethiopia)!

Amhara-Oromo-Alliance For the Possible Revolution Against Woyane's Apartheid System in Oromia (Ethiopia)!  by OJFist on ER

We like it or not, there is a big ‘elephant in the room,’ which we all tend to evade, but the Woyane effectively exploits; i.e. the conflict: ‘pro-unitary Amhara elites and the likes Vs. pro-independence Oromo elites and the likes’. This conflict is still the main area of fear not to cooperate in the upcoming possible revolution against the fascist and racist Woyane regime. The pro-unitary Amhara elites do dream and wish that the Oromo people share their vision, and the pro-independence Oromo elites also want that the Amhara elites come to their senses and struggle for the freedom of Amhara people from Woyane colonization as well as for the independence of the Amhara region, so that to live in the future as a good neighbor of the independent Oromia. Both blocs just express their respective wish, and they do consider as if their respective wish is the only reality on the ground, but the cunning fox, Woyane, knows very well that these two communities are not yet in a position to trust each other; its cadres do exploit this situation to hinder the Tsunami of the ongoing revolution from coming against their bosses in Finfinne palace.

I personally do agree that now it is the right and suitable time for the revolution against any colonizer or dictator, be it in Oromia (Ethiopia) or some where else. Almost all citizens and nations in Oromia are now calling for the revolution as the best instrument to get rid of the fascist regime. Of course, that is why Woyane is now doing everything under the sky to prevent us from revolting. We know that, as long as Weyane is in power, we all will suffer, not only as refugees in Diaspora, but also as slaves at home in Oromia. Unfortunately, it seems that the ‘Amhara elites vs. Oromo elites’ face-off is yet to be a hindrance to the possible revolution, i.e. it is a hindrance to the necessary change of the tyrant regime. It seems that the ‘Amhara elites vs Oromo elites’ face-off (they neutralizing each other) is a very good historical advantage/opportunity, which Woyane regime got to rule over Oromia without any serious challenge and this face-off did not get an appropriate solution. Woyane survives and thrives mainly by dividing and polarizing ‘Amhara elites vs. Oromo elites’ as well as by sowing a fear and mistrust among/between them. We do still hear/read that both camps (the camp of the Amhara elites and that of the Oromo elites) do live under a fear and mistrust of each other, so that they seem to prefer Woyane’s further rule or prefer not to allow each other the possibility of taking over power.

Despite this self-sabotage of the two camps, I think a well coordinated FDG (fincila diddaa garbummaa, i.e. the non-violent popular uprising) of the Oromo people in cooperation with that of the other nations in that cursed empire is still the best way of a struggle to get rid of the fascist Woyane. Actually, the Oromo people do have nothing to lose, if the expected revolution comes. One thing, beside many, in favor of the Oromo liberation movement, is the fact that Weyane will leave Finfinne palace, only after securing its goal, i.e. after securing an independence of Tigrai. Of course, together with such move of Woyane, Oromia’s chance to get its independence is high. Because of this reason, both the Amhara conservatives and the Western protectors of the empire system of domination do not want to see Woyane being cornered. They surely know that cornering Woyane is almost tantamount to disintegrating the empire. That is why, it is not the Oromo people, but firstly the Weyane itself, secondly the colonial-minded Amhara conservative elites, and thirdly their Western handlers, who do fear the coming of the revolution to Oromia. Thus, the democratic Amhara forces pushing for the revolution are not as such very dangerous for the Oromo liberation movement. Even if not Oromian independence per referendum, we can achieve Oromian autonomy through a genuine federalism within an Oromian (Ethiopian) union, i.e. we can achieve the national freedom of the Oromo people as a result of the possible revolution.

This is one of the reasons that Weyane cadres are nowadays very busy to hinder the revolution from taking place in the empire by using their manipulation of the fact that the peoples of the empire are not [deleted], but different (the colonized and the colonizer), as their instrument of division and polarization. If the scare tactics, which they try to use, hinder the revolution, the only option we the colonized people do have is the anti-colonial armed struggle, on which we have to concentrate and invest most, even though it is a very difficult job, given the little support we do have from the international community. For the revolution possibly not to take place, unfortunately the pro-independence freedom fighters (the Oromo, Ogaden, Sidama … liberation forces) and the pro-unity freedom fighters (the Amhara, Gurage, Harari … patriotic forces) are still mistrusting each other. Both camps want to secure the direction of the move after the freedom from Woyane (to secure the result after the revolution). The first bloc wants no reversal of the already achieved victory of a limited cultural autonomy on the way towards national independence (self-determination), whereas the second bloc wants to be sure that the empire stays intact and possibly the process will be reversed back to the unitary country.

But, why should these people worry too much about the situation after the revolution? Is the caution regarding the unity of the empire, which is lamented by the pro-unity freedom fighters, different from the scare tactics used by the Woyane cadres? The cadres go to Oromo forums and tell us the “worse will come; Amhara elites will take over, and there will never be the reality of aayyo Oromia, if you push for the revolution;” and then, they go to Amhara forums and tell them “to take care, the worse will come; OLF can take over and it will be the end of imiyee Ethiopia, if you make a revolution.” It is the fact on the ground that both aayyo Oromia and imiye Ethiopia are actually taken hostage by the Weyane. Whenever the Oromo force is stronger, Woyanes threaten with the possibility of dismantling Golden Oromia; and whenever Amhara force is stronger, they threaten with dismembering Great Oromia (Ethiopia).

Woyanes use the opportunity of such division among the opposition to threaten both camps of the freedom fighters. If the revolution really should happen, the two camps of the freedom fighters need to be bold enough to take risk of losing their ideals after the revolution and live with a possible compromise solution. This means, the first bloc should be ready to lose, for instance the possibility of achieving independent Oromia, Ogadenia; and the second camp should be ready to risk their long-term goal of fostering unitary Great Oromia. Otherwise, in short, Woyane is really lucky, there will never be any revolution under such condition of the division between the freedom fighters; and getting rid of Woyane through election is, of course, very minimal; that is why armed struggle will then be the only option left. In case both the public uprising and the armed struggle against Woyane are not effective, should not we then be ready to be ruled by Woyane for the next one century? Not to allow Woyane to rule us for such a long time, we need to know and tackle the methods it uses, specially its scare tactics. In short the scare tactics, which the Woyane cadres nowadays do use are:

- “if revolution happens, Amhara elites can take over and dismantle Golden Oromia”
- “if revolution happens, Oromo elites will be in power and dismember Great Oromia (Ethiopia)”
- “if revolution happens, Weyane army is not like Tunisia’s army, but will massacre the civillians and take over power”
- “if revolution happens, there can be a mayhem against the Tigreans, like that of Ruanda”
- “if revolution happens, there will be absolute chaos and civil war among different ethnies”

Are the freedom fighters from both blocs (from the pro-independence freedom fighters and from the pro-unity freedom fighters) ready to deal with this scare tactics of WOyane? Can they agree on the middle ground: freedom and referendum (on self-determination of citizens and nations)? Those freedom fighters, who just sing about the unconditional independence of nations, must cool down and accept the public verdict, as well as those freedom fighters, who now cry for the unconditional unity, also should learn to be moderates and accept the public verdict. That means both camps must agree on first to get freedom from Woyane fascists and racists, and then democratically decide for either independence or unity per referendum; i.e. only the democratic independence or the democratic unity (independence or unity based on public verdict) can be a lasting solution. We like it or not, all peoples in that region are interdependent, be it they decide for the political independence or for the political union. The political will of the peoples in the empire/region is what matters at the end.

Unfortunately, there are still some blind nationalists in both the Amhara elites’ camp and the Oromo elites’ camp, who yet couldn’t see the common convergent short-term goal of the two big nations, i.e. the ‘freedom from the fascism of Weyane.’ Such blind nationalists do concentrate only on their divergent long-term goals: independent Golden Oromia (Oromo elites’ goal) vs. united Gret Oromia/Ethiopia (Amhara elites’ goal). But, the smart nationalists from both the Amhara elites’ camp and the Oromo elites’ camp are trying to forge an alliance to achieve together their convergent common short-term goal and then to decide on their respective long-term goals through the public verdict (by referendum). The blind ones are too far from accepting and respecting the will of their respective public as a final verdict. That means, in short, the blind nationalists do preach democracy, which includes the referendum, but they are not yet ready to practice what they do preach. We hope the few smart and genuinely democratic nationalists in both camps, who try to practice what they do preach, will prevail to cooperate and make Woyane’s fascism history. Here, we also can call the blind nationalists as dictatorial nationalists. Those who want to achieve either ‘independent Golden Oromia’ or ‘united Great Oromia’ per public referendum are the democratic Oromo nationalists and the democratic Amhara nationalists, respectively. The others, who just want to achieve their long-term goal without a public verdict, are purely dictators, who can talk about freedom and democracy, but know nothing what freedom and democracy really mean.

Those of us, who do have a cognitive ability to imagine something in an abstract way, let’s just try to imagine a very big letter ‘Y’ and try to distinguish four points on the letter (the bottom tip, the middle junction, the left top tip, and the right top tip). Then, let’s imagine that the bottom tip is the status-quo of Oromian politics, where both the Amhara and the Oromo nations are under the tyranny of Woyane; the middle junction is a point for freedom of both nations from the tyranny; the left top tip is the point of Golden Oromian independence; and the right top tip is the point for Great Oromian union. Then, let’s imagine that this letter ‘Y’ is a figure to illustrate the route of the liberation journey for both the currently oppressed Amhara nation and the Oromo nation from the tyranny, from their present common situation, towards their short-term and long-term goals. Can we imagine that these two oppressed nations do have a possibility to move from the bottom tip (point of tyranny) to the middle junction (point of freedom) together? This is our common route of the journey towards the common converging short-term goal. Then will come the two diverging routes towards the two different and diverging long-term goals of the elites of the two nations: the left top tip (Golden Oromian independence, which is the long-term goal of Oromo elites) and right top tip (Great Oromian union, i.e. the long-term goal of Amhara elites).

Now, if we could imagine this route of common journey adequately, it is not hard to comprehend that we need the alliance of Amhara elites and Oromo elites (the all-inclusive alliance) to move from the status-quo of tyranny under Woyane to the point of freedom from Weyane, but not necessarily to move together to the right top tip (together to the Great Oromian union) or not together to the left top tip (together to the Golden Oromian independence). After achieving our freedom from Woyane’s fascism together, it is up to the Oromo public to decide, through referendum, which direction to move further: to the left top tip or to the right top tip. If the Oromo majority will choose to move to the right top tip, then Oromo elites’ long-term goal will be similar to that of the Amhara elites. Otherwise, if the Oromo majority will choose to move to the left top tip, no Amhara elite can hinder the Oromo nation from achieving this Golden Oromian independence. Just concentrating on the struggle for freedom from Woyane’s fascism, I think there are, in general, three main possible ways of struggle leading us to bilisummaa / to freedom / to netsaannet:

- Armed struggle, which was the the method of choice by the OLF and by the other Oromo liberation fronts,
- Popular uprising, which is not yet tried in a well-coordinated way, but now seems to be the upcoming option, and
- Electoral struggle, which was the way chosen by the OFC and by the other Oromo democratic federalists, despite the undemocratic nature of the Weyane in particular, and that of the Abyssinian rulers of the the empire in general.

From these three ways of struggles for freedom, we have seen that both the armed struggle and the electoral struggle were not yet successful. The armed struggle is too slow because of the limited support from the so-called international community; and the electoral struggle failed due to the undemocratic nature of the empire and that of its brutal rulers. The option of the popular uprising was tried separately by only the Oromo students during the years 2000 – 2007, and by the Amhara urbanites after the “election” in the year 2005.

Because of such uncoordinated and uncooperative moves between the elites of the different nations in the empire, specially due to the polarization of the Amhara elites and the Oromo elites, the hitherto fragmented popular uprisings were not successful. But in the future, it seems that there is a hope for a possible alliance of the elites from these oppressed nations against the fascist Woyane, which can lead to a successful uprising and also which can be a quicker means/way leading us to freedom from the Woyane’s tyranny. I think the combination of the above three ways of struggles, in an optimally calculated and planned manner, is the best method, which can lead us to freedom. That is why Weyane cadres nowadays do their best to hinder this currently moving fire of the revolution from coming to Oromia and, of course, the “smart” Afaan Oromo-speaking/writing Weyane messengers are trying to do their job among the Oromo, both in the cyberworld and in the real Oromo community, just as the Amharinyaa-speaking ones are doing the same job among the Amhara (the Amharinyaa-speaking community).

If the revolutionaries in both liberation camps (in the pro-independent Oromo elites’ camp and the pro-unitary Amhara elites’ camp) seriously want a revolution to happen against the brutal fascist Weyane regime, then their evading, shelving or undermining of the ‘elephant in the room’ is not the solution. The elites in both blocs should be realistic and pragmatic to face the main and the real problem. None of the two blocs can cheat or outmaneuver the other side; they have to be able to come up with a compromise solution. I personally believe that the public verdict (the popular will of each nation) is the alpha and omega of both the freedom and democracy, which almost all sides do preach, but very few of them seem to be ready to practice. Especially, the elites of the two big nations (the Amhara elites and the Oromo elites) should learn to prepare themselves for the fate of the empire based on such public verdicts per referendum. If they are smart enough, they would settle for Ethiopian regional union either based on polity consensus or as the result of a popular referendum; otherwise, they should accept the possible peaceful separation of Abyssinia and Oromia (i.e. accept national independence of both Abyssinia and Oromia as two independent states to live as very good neighbors, just like that of the Czech republic and Slovakia). The other alternative for the anti-sovereignty forces is, of course, to sing like the president Al-bashir of Sudan, as he did recently: “welcome to a neighboring nation of South Sudan,” of course, unfortunately after the sacrifice of about 2 million Sudan citizens. May Waaqa/Igzabiher help us all understand this fact on the ground, which, of course, is still determining the moves of both our common foes (the Woyane camp) and that of the friends (that of the two anti-Woyane camps, that of both the pro-independence and the pro-unity camps)!

Galatooma!

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